Peer reviewed2023Twelve U.S. cities

The Effect of New Market-Rate Housing Construction on the Low-Income Housing Market

Mast

Main finding

Moves into new market-rate buildings open older homes throughout the market, and those chains reach lower-income neighborhoods within a few years.

100 new homes led 45–70 people to leave below-median-income tracts within five years

Most important limitation

The chain endpoint is modeled and counts people rather than housing units.

From the publication

Inspect the authors' figure directly

Figure from the paper

Figure 6 · Equivalent unit creation

As moves propagate, the model reaches more below-median-income and rent-burdened neighborhoods.

Published line chart showing cumulative equivalent units created across 35 migration rounds for five lower-income and rent-burdened neighborhood categories.

Source: Mast (2023), Figure 6; PDF p. 37.

Read carefully: This is a modeled migration chain, not a direct rent estimate. The lines represent neighborhood categories, not individual households.

How this study is used

Claims this evidence supports

Strong evidenceOne new home can open many doors.See the full evidence stack →

Reference

Mast (2023). “The Effect of New Market-Rate Housing Construction on the Low-Income Housing Market.”

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